Investigation: Public Opinions on Specified Topics - The Social Democratic Party has surpassed the Alternative for Germany in terms of support.
In a recent poll conducted by Forsa on behalf of RTL, the SPD has gained a noticeable edge over the AfD, marking the first time this has occurred since June 2023. The SPD's popularity has risen to 17% while the AfD has remained constant at 16%. This significant shift in the political landscape was documented in the survey conducted this past Tuesday.
The Left Party also saw a slight boost in its popularity, reaching 3% percent, but this would not be enough to secure a seat in the Bundestag. On the other hand, the CDU/CSU and BSW suffered declines, each losing one percentage point, resulting in 30% and 4% respectively. The Greens and FDP, on the other hand, have maintained their percentages at 12% and 5%.
Interestingly, when asked about their preference for a Federal Chancellor, the majority of respondents in the survey indicated that they would vote for Friedrich Merz (23%). This is in contrast to Olaf Scholz and Robert Habeck, who each received 17% of the votes. If Annalena Baerbock were to replace Robert Habeck on the ballot, 16% of participants would opt to vote for a female Chancellor.
Merz's Chances
Despite these encouraging numbers for Friedrich Merz, there are doubts surrounding his ability to surpass Chancellor Olaf Scholz's standing. In fact, the majority of Germans (57%) do not believe Merz would make a better Chancellor than Scholz. Furthermore, a startling 33% of CDU/CSU party members are uncertain about Merz's ability to outperform Olaf Scholz as Chancellor. However, there's still a chance for Merz to garner support among CDU, FDP, and AfD voters.
Methodological details: Forsa interviewed 2,505 people in Germany between April 23-29, 2024. This survey provides a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. These results are considered representative.
Disclaimer: stern is a part of RTL Germany.
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Source: www.stern.de
