New York Yankees see futures drop, Aaron decides to hold off indefinitely
Three weeks ago, New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge injured his big toe when he hit the outfield wall at Dodger Stadium. There's still no concrete timetable for his return, and without Judge, the Yankees' World Series prospects have plummeted.
In 49 games this season, Judge has hit 19 homers and had 40 RBIs. His slash line was .291/.404/.674.
Prior to the toe injury, Judge was on pace to hit more than 50 homers and 110 RBIs for just the third time in his career.
Judge is the reigning American League MVP. He hit 62 home runs last season, setting an American League record for most hits in a season. Judge also set the Yankees franchise record by surpassing Roger Maris, who set the original record with 61 home runs in 1961. In 1927, Babe Ruth hit 60 home runs in 151 games, setting an MLB single-season record.
Maris has an asterisk next to his name in the record books because he broke the season record of 162 games in 1961, appearing in 161 of them. Ruth initially set the MLB season record with 154 games. Judge hit 62 homers in 157 games last season.
The Yankees don’t know the severity of the injury
Judge still has pain in his right big toe when he walks. He received two platelet-rich plasma injections to reduce swelling, but the pain persisted.
The Yankees and Judge have not disclosed the severity of the injury. Sprains and strains are graded using a scoring system to assess the severity of the injury. The Yankees didn't release any information, leading to speculation that it was a grade three or worst-case scenario of a torn ligament.
I don't know about any level," Yankees manager Aaron Boone said. "The reality is he's not at the level where he can play yet. Aaron feels like he's improving every day and can do a little more every day, but isn't yet to the point where he can run and do a full baseball game. "
“I’ve had all kinds of injuries over the years and it’s going to take a while,” Judge told The Athletic. "It's not going to be perfect for a few weeks. Once we get the pain under control, we'll be in a good place."
“We just have to keep waiting and get him there,” Boone added. "He's obviously as tough as they come. He wants to get back out there."
The Yankees have 13 games remaining before the All-Star break in mid-July. Their next nine games were against losing teams, including the Oakland Athletics, St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs. The Yankees also have a four-game homestand against the Baltimore Orioles early next week.
The Yankees will begin the second half of the season with a six-game road trip in the West against the Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Angels.
Injue derails Richter after two successful seasons
Last offseason, multiple teams entered into a bidding war for Judge's services. The Yankees have the upper hand, but several National League teams are also vying for the American League MVP.
Judge grew up in Northern California, which is why the San Francisco Giants thought they could lure Judge to the Bay Area. The San Diego Padres prepared to back up Brink's truck and dump a large amount of cash on Judge's front lawn. The Padres offered Judge $400 million, a tempting offer.
Despite West's hype, Judge signed a nine-year, $360 million contract with the Yankees. He remained with the Yankees, intending to eventually retire as a pinstriper and spend his entire major league career in the Bronx.
In addition to appearing in 155 games during his rookie season. Judge is battling injuries. He missed 50 games in 2018 and 60 games in 2019. Even in the 2020 season that was shortened due to the epidemic, Judge missed most of the season and only appeared in 28 of 60 games.
Judge has been relatively healthy the past two seasons. He missed 14 games in 2021 and just five games in 2022. He set a career record last season with 157 games played. It was also his second time in five full seasons of eligibility that he appeared in more than 150 games.
Judge has only appeared in 49 games this season and has missed 29 games. The Yankees are 7-10 since the injury.
It was a rough first half for the Yankees. Their pitching staff has a major injury to their main pitcher, but they hope left-handed starter Carlos Rodon can return for the second half of the season.
MLB Futures: Yankees fall without judgment
The 2023 Yankees are 43-35. They are third in the AL East, one of the toughest divisions in the majors this season. The Yankees may be the third-best team in the AL East, but they are fourth in the AL and only seven teams have won more games this season.
FanGraphs projects the Yankees to have a 4.7% chance of winning the division. They have a 58.9% chance of qualifying for the playoffs via the AL Wild Card and a 63.7% chance of making the playoffs directly. The Yankees have only a 3.7 percent chance of winning the World Series. According to FanGraph's projections, 10 other teams have a better chance of winning the title.
According to playoff betting on DraftKings, the Yankees have a -225 chance of advancing to the playoffs. You can skip the Yankees and bet on them to miss the playoffs at +190 odds.
The Yankees initially thought Judge would be on the IL briefly because of a toe injury. In early June, the Yankees had a +950 chance to win the World Series and a +500 chance to win the AL pennant.
With Judge out indefinitely, his injury dramatically changed the futures market. The Yankees are currently +1300 to win the 2023 World Series, making them the No. 6 team on DraftKings’ MLB Futures rankings.The Yankees' AL pennant odds also dropped to +700.
The Tampa Bay Rays have the best odds to win the AL East at -400, followed by the Baltimore Orioles (+750), Yankees (+800), Toronto Blue Jays (+1200) and Boston Red Sox (+1200). +10000). . The Rays (54-27) are 4.5 games ahead of the second-place Orioles (47-29) and 9.5 games ahead of the third-place Yankees (43-35).
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