The Fed's current monetary policy position, according to an official, is deemed ideal.
Federal Reserve Interest Rates Remain Steady Amidst Debate
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has maintained its benchmark federal funds rate at a range of 4.25% to 4.5% for the fifth consecutive meeting this year, despite growing calls for a rate cut. This decision was made in the latest meeting, where two members, Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, dissented, favouring a 25-basis-point cut.
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeffrey Schmid, one of the 12 members of the FOMC, has been a vocal supporter of keeping rates at their current level. Schmid believes that the economy is experiencing solid growth, albeit with inflation elevated relative to the Fed's 2% target.
Inflation, as measured by the consumer price index (CPI), stood at 2.7% in July, while the Fed's preferred personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index was at 2.6% in June. Schmid anticipates a relatively muted effect of tariffs on inflation, and he does not think it's worthwhile to distinguish between inflation and tariff costs in the short term.
Schmid also maintains an outlook for three interest rate cuts in 2025. However, he believes that monetary policy should remain modestly restrictive to prevent a resurgence of inflation.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is reportedly discussing plans to remodel its monetary policy. The details of these changes are not yet clear, but they are expected to be unveiled in the coming months.
Elsewhere, President Donald Trump has nominated his longtime economic advisor Stephen Miran for a key position on the Federal Reserve Board. A Senate hearing is scheduled for September to consider Miran's nomination.
The last time two FOMC members dissented in favour of rate cuts was in 1993, making this the first such instance in nearly three decades. The FOMC voted 9-2 to leave rates unchanged, with one member absent.
Schmid, however, is not concerned about the short-term impact of tariffs on inflation, stating that it is not possible to determine how tariff costs are borne between various parties in the short term. He believes that the Fed is "as close to meeting its dual mandate objectives of price stability and full employment as it has been for quite some time."
As the economy continues to evolve, the FOMC's decisions will undoubtedly remain a subject of interest and debate.
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