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Strong demand observed for California's carbon auction amid political ambiguity over environmental legislation

California's carbon auction quarterly prices slightly rebounded from their spring low, yet they are still significantly lower than the projected 2024 high, amid ongoing uncertainty.

Elevated interest in California's carbon auction persists amidst legislative ambiguity
Elevated interest in California's carbon auction persists amidst legislative ambiguity

Strong demand observed for California's carbon auction amid political ambiguity over environmental legislation

In a surprising turn of events, the August 2021 auction of carbon emission permits in California saw a price increase compared to the May auction, yet generated less revenue compared to the same period last year.

The August 2020 sale of these permits, a requirement for high-emitting companies to cover their operations, settled at $28.76 per ton. This marked a $2.89 increase from the May auction price of $25.87. However, the August 2021 sale generated approximately $843 million for state coffers, a decrease of $107 million compared to the revenue generated in the same auction the previous year.

Interestingly, the May auction of 2021 was the first time since the pandemic that all permits were not sold. This seeming shortage in demand was quickly rectified in the August auction, where all permits were successfully sold.

The decision to implement the California carbon trading authorization agreement this year was made by the California Air Resources Board (CARB). However, California lawmakers are facing a Sept. 12 deadline to reauthorize the carbon emission permit program this year, adding a layer of uncertainty to the future of the market.

Despite the recent fluctuations, the California carbon emission permit program continues to play a significant role in the state's efforts to combat climate change and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

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