Right-wing Reform UK party gains wider support from pessimistic nationalists

In the political landscape of the United Kingdom, a new force is emerging – Reform UK, a hard-right party that has surged in popularity. Late-August surveys show Reform on 32% support, 10 points ahead of Labour, indicating a significant shift in political allegiances.

The party's appeal seems to lie in its focus on immigration and patriotism, attracting many voters who identify as "pessimist patriots". This is evidenced by the conversion stories of individuals like Karen Dixon and Godwin. Dixon, a retiree, and Godwin, a former Tory voter, joined Reform after feeling disillusioned with Labour and the Conservatives.

Nigel Farage, a longtime ally of Donald Trump, is considered a key factor in Reform's success. His leadership and political stance resonate with a growing number of voters, including Marcus Ware, a student who became a "young member" of Reform.

Reform's message of low taxes and protection of community and traditions appeals to many, such as Marcus Ware, who appreciates the party's stance. However, concerns have been raised about the party's tax-and-spend numbers in the last election not "adding up".

The party has seen a significant increase in membership, tripling to over 240,000, and controlling 12 local authorities. This growth is also reflected in the party's electoral success, as evidenced by their win of 14% of the vote in the 2024 general election, netting five MPs.

The party's base is becoming increasingly mainstream, with the number of female Reform supporters fast catching up with men, according to new polling by More in Common. This suggests that Reform's appeal is not limited to a specific demographic.

Amelia Randall, a Reform councillor in Kent, believes Nigel Farage has a good chance of becoming the next prime minister. The spirit inside the Reform party is rising, according to Randall, with conservative pollster James Johnson suggesting that there are still many unclaimed voters like the Reform's existing base.

Woodhouse, a former Labour voter, joined Reform two months ago to close borders and protect community and traditions, while Godwin is concerned about perceived curbs on freedom of expression and sees Reform as the only viable option. These independent local elected officials attended Reform's annual conference, further indicating the party's growing influence.

Marcus Ware dismisses criticism that Reform's hard-right agenda is divisive, stating that the label of being divisive is subjective. This sentiment is shared by many within the party, who see their stance as a necessary response to the perceived failures of the long-established parties.

In the context of a political crisis, Nigel Farage is considered a likely candidate for the office of Prime Minister in the United Kingdom through his right-wing party Reform UK. However, the next general election is not until 2029, leaving much time for political dynamics to change.