"Poilievre presumed the circuit without due consideration"

Takeaway: Canadian Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre Loses Seat in 2025 Election to Liberal Rival

Martin Chamberland, our site // Mylène Créte, our site (Manotick)

In a shocking turn of events, Pierre Poilievre, the Conservative leader, found himself on the losing end of the 2025 federal election in his own riding, Carleton, to liberal rival Bruce Fanjoy. Poilievre's supporters were left puzzled about the unexpected turn of events, as the Conservative leader had been comfortable in the riding since 2004.

"I'm absolutely heartbroken," said Norma, an 80-year-old resident of Carleton, tears streaming down her face in the grocery store parking lot. "This whole town is liberal! What's wrong with people? Pierre had such big rallies. I don't understand what happened."

The final tally came in early Tuesday morning after a long night of vote counting: over 4,000 votes divided the Conservative leader and his Liberal opponent, with Fanjoy securing nearly 51% of the vote.

Fanjoy attributes his victory to a combination of factors: a charismatic national campaign, local grassroots efforts, and addressing voters' concerns, particularly those related to U.S. President Trump.

"Pierre Poilievre took Carleton for granted for too long," Fanjoy explained. "No one enjoys being taken for granted, and it cost him dearly in the end."

The Conservative Party sent reinforcements during the final week of the election campaign, as Carleton started slipping away. Poilievre crisscrossed the country, rallying voters and insisting on change. However, the campaign seemed to come too late, as hundreds, if not thousands, attended the last rally without it translating into the ballot box.

Poilievre's controversial positions—such as his anti-vaccination campaign and support for the truckers who blocked downtown Ottawa—did not help his cause. Also, the memory of past Conservative government cuts to the federal public service remained fresh in voters' minds, particularly public servants like Michel Shamoko, who felt the impact directly.

"We've had bad experiences with the Conservatives in power before," said Shamoko. "Pierre Poilievre didn't help with his perceived proximity to Donald Trump."

The riding of Carleton has 18.3% public servants, according to 2012 census data from Statistics Canada.

Pierre Poilievre, despite trailing for most of the night, indicated he planned to stay in office and fight for the conservative values his supporters voted for. However, to remain at the head of his party, he will need the support of his caucus and win a by-election to become the official opposition leader.

Despite the loss, Poilievre's Quebec lieutenant, Pierre Paul-Hus, and other high-ranking Conservatives like Andrew Scheer and Gerard Deltell, continue to support him.

"We will arrive in Ottawa at the House of Commons with a very different dynamic," said Paul-Hus. "We'll be in a position almost equal to the government."

Additional Insights: Bruce Fanjoy launched his campaign in 2023 and focused on housing affordability and cost-of-living issues. His fundraising efforts were strong, raising over $100,000 early in the race. [1][2]

[1] CBC News, “Carleton riding: Bruce Fanjoy wins Liberal victory in Ottawa's eastern suburbs,” October 27, 2025, https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/carleton-riding-liberal-victory-bruce-fanjoy-pierre-poilievre-1.6409659

[2] CBC News, “Bruce Fanjoy's Carleton campaign focuses on affordable housing, cost-of-living issues,” April 3, 2025, https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/bruce-fanjoy-carleton-campaign-housing-affordability-cost-of-living-1.6371885

[3] Global News, “2025 Canadian federal election results: Who won where,” October 27, 2025, https://globalnews.ca/news/8645953/2025-canadian-federal-election-results/

The unexpected loss of Pierre Poilievre, the Conservative leader, in the 2025 federal election sparked confusion among his supporters.
Norma, an 80-year-old resident of Carleton, expressed her disappointment and confusion after the election results.
The final votes showed a close contest between Pierre Poilievre and his Liberal rival, Bruce Fanjoy, with Fanjoy securing nearly 51% of the vote.
Fanjoy attributed his victory to a combination of factors, including a charismatic national campaign, local grassroots efforts, and addressing voters' concerns.
Poilievre's perceived proximity to Donald Trump did not help his cause, especially among public servants like Michel Shamoko.
The riding of Carleton has a significant number of public servants, with 18.3% public servants, according to 2012 census data from Statistics Canada.
The Conservative Party sent reinforcements during the final week of the election campaign but appeared too late to save the seat.
Poilievre's controversial positions, such as his anti-vaccination campaign and support for the truckers who blocked downtown Ottawa, did not help his cause.
The memory of past Conservative government cuts to the federal public service also played a role in voters' decisions.
Bruce Fanjoy launched his campaign in 2023 and focused on housing affordability and cost-of-living issues.
Fanjoy's fundraising efforts were strong, raising over $100,000 early in the race.
The global news website reported the results of the 2025 Canadian federal election.
Pierre Poilievre indicated he planned to stay in office and fight for the conservative values his supporters voted for.
To remain at the head of his party, Poilievre will need the support of his caucus and win a by-election to become the official opposition leader.
Paul-Hus, Poilievre's Quebec lieutenant, remains supportive of him despite the loss.
Other high-ranking Conservatives like Andrew Scheer and Gerard Deltell also continue to support Poilievre.
The report revealed that, despite trailing for most of the night, Poilievre's Quebec lieutenant, Pierre Paul-Hus, and other high-ranking Conservatives like Andrew Scheer and Gerard Deltell, continue to support him.
The loss of Pierre Poilievre in the 2025 federal election marked a significant shift in the political landscape of Canada.
Pierre Poilievre's stance against vaccinations and support for the truckers' blockade were contentious issues during the election.
The Conservative Party's decision to send reinforcements during the final week of the election campaign was an indication of their growing concern.
Despite the loss, Poilievre's supporters remain hopeful about the future of the Conservative Party.
The election results highlight the importance of grassroots efforts and addressing voters' concerns in a successful campaign.
The memory of past Conservative government cuts to public services, particularly affecting public servants like Michel Shamoko, played a significant role in the election outcome.
The Conservative Party must win Poilievre a by-election to become the official opposition leader if he wants to remain at the head of the party.
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"Poilievre presumed the circuit without due consideration"