NATO troops in Ukraine is almost inconceivable in the southern region

In the ongoing crisis in Ukraine, several German political figures have shared their views on potential security guarantees, troop deployment, and the status of Ukrainian refugees in Germany. Here's a summary of the key points:

Security Guarantees and Troop Deployment

Adis Ahmetović, SPD's foreign policy spokesman, has stated that the concrete security guarantees of the USA for Ukraine are unclear and depend on the possibilities and scope of German engagement.
Friedrich Merz, a leading contender for the German Chancellorship, has not ruled out the possibility of deploying German troops in Ukraine but has expressed reservations about the deployment. He also emphasised the need for a ceasefire or peace agreement before long-term security guarantees could be decided.
Merz has also stated that any potential deployment of German soldiers would be subject to significant reservations and would require the agreement of the German Bundestag.
Markus Söder, leader of the CSU, is against deploying the German Armed Forces in Ukraine as part of security guarantees.
Söder also believes that NATO troops would not be stationed in Ukraine, as Russia would not accept it.

Ukrainian Refugees in Germany

Many Ukrainians came to Germany in large numbers after the Russian attack on Ukraine in 2022, not as asylum seekers, but under a special rule, which entitled them to citizen's allowance if they couldn't earn their living right away.
Markus Söder suggests changing the current system, believing it leads to a lower proportion of Ukrainians in work compared to other European countries. Plans by the black-red coalition indicate that people from Ukraine who arrive in Germany after April 1, 2025, will no longer receive citizen's allowance, but lower benefits like asylum seekers.
Söder has also suggested discussing how to handle Ukrainian refugees, focusing on sending combat-capable Ukrainians back to their homeland to ensure security in their own country. This suggestion has been met with criticism from the Green Party, with leaders like Franziska Brantner accusing Söder of populism.
Adis Ahmetović, in response to Söder's suggestion to deport Ukrainian refugees, has expressed puzzlement, questioning the ethical implications of such a move.

Peace Agreement Initiative

A coalition of 30 countries, including European states, Japan, and Australia, has pledged their support for an initiative to secure a peace agreement in Ukraine. This group has expressed readiness to provide various forms of support to Ukraine, encompassing military and security guarantees.
However, there are no plans for direct NATO involvement in a force that could secure a peace agreement.

These points provide a snapshot of the ongoing discussions and debates in Germany regarding Ukraine's security and the status of Ukrainian refugees. As the situation evolves, these positions may change, and further discussions are expected.