Kamala Harris' chances of taking the presidential position increase significantly at the betting house
In the ever-evolving landscape of American politics, the race for the 2028 Presidential election is heating up, with betting markets offering intriguing insights into the potential contenders.
Currently, Vice President JD Vance is the favourite to win the Republican nomination, with odds of 55% [1][2]. On the Democratic side, Governor Gavin Newsom leads the pack with a 20% likelihood to secure the nomination, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (16%), Pete Buttigieg (12%), and Kamala Harris (6%) [1].
Kamala Harris' odds have seen a significant boost since she announced on Wednesday that she will not run for Governor of California in 2026. This decision potentially frees her to focus on a 2028 presidential bid, and her chances have improved from 2% to 3.8% according to one bookmaker [1]. William Hill is currently offering odds of 25/1 (3.8%) on Harris becoming the next U.S. President [3].
Other notable Democratic contenders include Governors Josh Shapiro (6.7%), Gretchen Whitmer (4.8%), Andy Beshear (3.8%), and JB Pritzker (3.8%) [1]. Former Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel and Michelle Obama also feature in the race, both with odds of 3.8% [1].
On the Republican side, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis follows Vance with odds of 3.8% [1]. Donald Trump, despite serving in his second term, is offered at 8/1 (11.1%) to win the 2028 presidential election [4]. Sons of the former President, Donald Trump Jr. and Ivanka Trump, also have odds of 5.9% and 3.8% respectively [1].
The Democrats could have a wide-open primary in 2028, as there has been much speculation about Harris running for Governor of California [5]. However, her decision to focus on a potential presidential bid has sparked renewed interest in her candidacy.
As the race for the 2028 election unfolds, the betting markets provide a fascinating glimpse into the shifting tides of American politics.
References: [1] Betfair Exchange - https://exchange.betfair.com/exchange/exchange-2028-presidential-election-winner-market/ [2] PredictIt - https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/1268/who-will-be-the-2028-republican-presidential-nominee [3] William Hill - https://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-us/future-sports/politics/2028-us-presidential-election-winner.html [4] PredictIt - https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/1269/who-will-be-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nominee [5] Los Angeles Times - https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2022-07-20/kamala-harris-2026-governor-race-california
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