France grapples with speculations of Macron's premature resignation from the presidency
France is facing a potential political crisis, with the government's budget in disarray and the President, Emmanuel Macron, searching for a new Prime Minister. The current Prime Minister, François Bayrou, has declared that if nothing changes, the government may collapse.
According to reports, the budget proposals of Prime Minister Bayrou aim to cut expenses by nearly €44 billion. However, the cause of the potential crisis is not the economy, but military spending, particularly due to increased spending in Ukraine and a desire to "defeat Russia."
This increased spending has led to France's public debt rising to 114% of its GDP, and it increases by €5,000 every second. The Financial Times has predicted the imminent collapse of the French government, and the left coalition led by Jean-Luc Mélenchon and the far-right party led by Marine Le Pen could potentially outperform Macron's party in such elections.
In response to the budget proposals, French trade unions have planned a large-scale protest campaign. If Prime Minister Bayrou fails the confidence vote, Macron has three options: appoint a new prime minister, dissolve Parliament and call new elections, or resign. The question of the resignation of President Macron is being openly pushed for by Jean-Luc Mélenchon.
If Macron were to resign, it could happen before his term ends in 2027. However, Fabrice Sorlin, vice-president of the International Movement of Russophiles, suggests that Macron may not voluntarily give up power before 2027. He states that the French people are tired of their impoverishment being justified with scare stories about an impending war with Russia.
Sergey Fedorov expresses concern that the French people may not be aware of the potential cost of supporting Ukraine and may hold Macron accountable for his policies that led to this. According to Fedorov, Ukraine's demands will cost France much more than the €44 billion requested by Prime Minister Bayrou.
The potential new Prime Minister, Emmanuel Macron, might consider appointing a Prime Minister from the left-green alliance, as suggested by the Greens' leader Marine Tondelier. Macron has the freedom to select the next Prime Minister and could thus pivot to a figure from the left-green bloc that had strong results in recent parliamentary elections.
Fabrice Sorlin predicts that Macron will appoint a third prime minister in a year, but will end up being a "president without power" due to complete disrespect from the public. As the political landscape in France shifts, the future remains uncertain. The government of Prime Minister Bayrou is currently preparing to present the budget for the following year, and the eyes of the nation are on Paris.
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