Forecast indicates minimal changes approaching election, FDP exhibiting slight growth

The latest polls in Germany's upcoming federal election, scheduled for 2021, have shed some light on the preferences of the German public and the potential coalitions that could emerge.

According to a survey conducted by Forsa on behalf of RTL Germany from September 20 to 23, 2021, Olaf Scholz leads the pack as the preferred chancellor candidate, with 28 percent of respondents choosing him. This is 15 percentage points ahead of Armin Laschet, who receives 13 percent of the vote, and 12 percentage points ahead of Annalena Baerbock, who garners 16 percent support.

However, the public opinion about a possible chancellor candidate from the Greens is moderate. The Greens currently receive around 10.5 to 12 percent support in recent polls, but their chancellor candidate is not currently seen as a frontrunner compared to leading candidates from the CDU/CSU and SPD.

The SPD, on the other hand, has seen an increase in support, with the party expected to secure 206 seats, an increase from the 2017 election. The Greens would have 140 seats, while the AfD would have 82 seats, a decrease from the beginning of the week.

The Union, which includes the CDU and CSU, is expected to see a significant decrease in seats, with 185 seats if the election results remain as they are, a decrease of 61 from 2017. The Left would have 49 seats, and the FDP would have 99 seats, an increase from the beginning of the week.

In terms of potential coalitions, a coalition of the Union, Greens, and FDP would have a governing majority of 424 mandates. A coalition of the SPD, Greens, and FDP would have a governing majority of 445 mandates, while a coalition of SPD, Greens, and Left would have a total of 395 mandates, but not a majority. A coalition of SPD and CDU/CSU would have a total of 391 mandates, with the Social Democrats being the stronger force.

However, it's worth noting that this information does not provide any new facts about the number of seats for each party or the potential coalitions. The elections and polls in 2025 are expected to show CDU/CSU and AfD as dominant forces, with leading candidates like Friedrich Merz (CDU) and Olaf Scholz (SPD) more prominent.

A significant portion of the electorate, 42 percent, remains undecided, with 42 percent not deciding for any of the three candidates.

The election posters for the Greens, SPD, and FDP were photographed by dts Nachrichtenagentur. The data for this information was collected for the 2021 federal election, with a sample size of 2,002 respondents.