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Decline of the U.S. dollar fuels increased popularity of Bitcoin and Gold as viable alternative currencies, according to Ray Dalio

Increasing U.S. debt endangers the greenback's status as a global reserve currency, prompting investors to seek refuge in Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies, and gold as substitute avenues for value storage, according to Ray Dalio's analysis.

U.S. Dollar depreciation lends strength to Bitcoin and Gold as viable substitute currencies,...
U.S. Dollar depreciation lends strength to Bitcoin and Gold as viable substitute currencies, according to Ray Dalio's analysis.

Decline of the U.S. dollar fuels increased popularity of Bitcoin and Gold as viable alternative currencies, according to Ray Dalio

In the global financial landscape, gold and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin are increasingly being viewed as alternative stores of value, alongside traditional assets such as gold. This shift comes as investors, including renowned figures like Ray Dalio, express concerns about the ballooning debt that could potentially threaten the US Dollar's dominance in global markets.

The surge in gold prices, which have risen by 33% since the beginning of the year, has been particularly notable. Gold recently surpassed $3,600 per ounce for the first time in history, outperforming the S&P 500 by 3.5 times. This trend has been observed in correlation with the rising Japanese government bond yields.

Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, has advised investors to allocate about 15% of their portfolios to Bitcoin or gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. Dalio does not believe deregulation threatens the dollar's reserve status, but identifies the massive debt loads of the U.S. and other reserve-currency issuers as the real danger. He draws parallels to economic patterns between 1930 and 1940 and again from 1970 to 1980 as warnings about the current economic trajectory.

Institutional investors, central banks, and private wealthy individuals have significantly increased their purchases of gold and cryptocurrencies to protect their wealth against potential US dollar depreciation. This trend is driven by concerns about inflation, monetary policy shifts, and geopolitical risks, with institutions adjusting portfolios accordingly amid signals of US Federal Reserve interest rate changes.

The appeal of alternative stores of value like Bitcoin and gold continues to grow as these conditions persist. Some market analysts, such as Benjamin Cowen, remain bullish on gold for the long term.

Meanwhile, the US government spends approximately $7 trillion annually while collecting only $5 trillion in revenue, creating a $2 trillion deficit. To cover its obligations, the US must sell an estimated $12 trillion in new debt in the coming year. Interest payments alone have reached $1 trillion annually, representing half the budget deficit.

Dalio flagged the declining real purchasing power of U.S. Treasuries as a genuine concern for investors. However, he dismissed the notion that stablecoins pose systemic risks, provided they are well-regulated. The 30-Year Bond yield has surged past 5.0%.

As the global economy navigates these challenging times, the role of gold and cryptocurrencies as potential hedges against currency devaluation and inflation continues to garner attention. The ongoing concerns about the US dollar's dominance and the mounting debt of reserve-currency issuers are likely to fuel the appeal of these alternative stores of value in the months and years ahead.

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