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Buffet's recommendation to invest in an S&P 500 index fund doesn't necessarily imply allocating 20% of one's investment portfolio to tech giants like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple.

Long-term stock market investors in the U.S. should expect positive performances, despite Buffett's apparent lack of confidence in its current leadership.

Is Warren Buffett's endorsement of the S&P 500 Index Fund suggesting a 20% allocation towards tech...
Is Warren Buffett's endorsement of the S&P 500 Index Fund suggesting a 20% allocation towards tech giants like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple within one's investment portfolio?

Buffet's recommendation to invest in an S&P 500 index fund doesn't necessarily imply allocating 20% of one's investment portfolio to tech giants like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple.

In the dynamic world of finance, the S&P 500, a benchmark representing 500 of the largest U.S. companies by value, has undergone significant changes over the years. A notable example is the transformation of its top companies, with growth-focused firms now dominating the landscape.

Fast-forward to 2025, and the largest eight companies by market cap in the S&P 500 are all growth-oriented, collectively making up 38% of the index. Thirty years ago, this was far from the case. ExxonMobil, Coca-Cola, Merck, Bank of America, and Raytheon (now RTX) held the top spots. However, in 2025, none of these companies are among the largest eight.

One company that has adapted to this changing landscape is Berkshire Hathaway, which, in 2025, is the ninth-most-valuable S&P 500 company. Over the past four consecutive quarters, Berkshire has not repurchased its own stock, a departure from its usual strategy. Instead, it has been trimming key holdings such as Apple and Bank of America. Warren Buffett, Berkshire's CEO, has net sold shares in Bank of America and DaVita over the last 11 quarters, with partial sales continuing into early 2025.

Buffett and his team have been cautious in today's premium-priced market, a strategy that has seen Berkshire hold a record amount of cash, cash equivalents, and short-term Treasury bills. Berkshire did not meaningfully increase its position in mega-cap growth stocks during the COVID-19-induced downturn in 2020, the 2022 bear market, or the tariff-induced sell-off earlier this year.

The S&P 500 in 2025 is a reflection of this shift, with all nine of its largest companies having market caps over $1 trillion. Three of these companies are worth over $3 trillion each. This growth has not come without risk, and investors with a lower risk tolerance and shorter investment time horizon may find it more sensible to offset the premium valuation and low yield of the S&P 500 with dividend-paying value stocks.

As the S&P 500 continues to evolve, Berkshire Hathaway remains a key player, adapting to the changing market conditions while maintaining its steadfast approach to investment. Buffett's philosophy of patience and careful consideration continues to guide the company, even as the market landscape shifts around them.

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